Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 9 percentage points?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Florida Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES30% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
30–52%
24h volume
659
$1 contracts
Open interest
3.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO65¢ 1,675$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.