Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?
chance of YES40%
-11.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
41–80%
24h volume
3.3K
Open interest
27.3K
Large orders (14d)
$8K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Moody, 1+ pts86%453
Moody, 2+ pts80%155
Moody, 3+ pts72%1.1K
Moody, 4+ pts58%4.3K
Moody, 5+ pts46%4.9K
Moody, 7+ pts34%1.5K
Moody, 8+ pts32%429
Moody, 9+ pts30%659
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 44¢ | 5,223 | $2K | |
| YES | 69¢ | 1,501 | $1K | |
| YES | 64¢ | 1,851 | $1K | |
| YES | 61¢ | 2,743 | $2K | |
| NO | 40¢ | 5,628 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.