Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 10 percentage points?
chance of YES22%
-4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–92%
24h volume
5.1K
Open interest
26.6K
Large orders (14d)
$14K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Moody, 1+ pts88%453
Moody, 2+ pts80%151
Moody, 3+ pts72%1.0K
Moody, 4+ pts58%4.2K
Moody, 5+ pts46%4.8K
Moody, 6+ pts40%3.3K
Moody, 7+ pts34%1.0K
Moody, 8+ pts32%401
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 73¢ | 4,777 | $3K | |
| NO | 83¢ | 2,152 | $2K | |
| NO | 76¢ | 1,700 | $1K | |
| NO | 75¢ | 2,000 | $1K | |
| NO | 72¢ | 2,766 | $2K | |
| NO | 62¢ | 6,110 | $4K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.