Florida Governor margin of victory
50/50 line46%Donalds, 3+ pts
Line nearest 50/50
46%
Runner-up
62%
Biggest 24h move-10 pts
19%
24h volume
$76K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noDonalds, 1+ pts
66%
-2
Donalds, 2+ pts
62%
Donalds, 3+ pts
46%
-10
Donalds, 4+ pts
40%
-2
Donalds, 5+ pts
32%
-8
Donalds, 7+ pts
20%
-4
Donalds, 6+ pts
19%
-10
Donalds, 9+ pts
16%
+2
Donalds, 12+ pts
7%
-2
Donalds, 15+ pts
6%
+4
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Donalds, 3+ ptsYES $24K · NO $0 · 6 orders · biggest $10K
- Donalds, 4+ ptsYES $9K · NO $0 · 3 orders · biggest $3K
- Donalds, 1+ ptsYES $5K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $5K
- Donalds, 18+ ptsYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Donalds, 2+ ptsYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Donalds, 6+ ptsYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Donalds, 5+ ptsYES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Donalds, 15+ ptsYES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donalds, 1+ pts | YES | 71¢ | $5K | |
| Donalds, 6+ pts | NO | 85¢ | $2K | |
| Donalds, 3+ pts | YES | 51¢ | $10K | |
| Donalds, 2+ pts | YES | 62¢ | $2K | |
| Donalds, 3+ pts | YES | 51¢ | $2K | |
| Donalds, 5+ pts | NO | 67¢ | $1K | |
| Donalds, 4+ pts | YES | 50¢ | $3K | |
| Donalds, 4+ pts | YES | 46¢ | $3K | |
| Donalds, 3+ pts | YES | 56¢ | $3K | |
| Donalds, 4+ pts | YES | 46¢ | $3K |
All outcomes
10| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donalds, 1+ pts | 66% | -2.5 | $2K | $8K |
| Donalds, 2+ pts | 62% | +0.5 | $7K | $10K |
| Donalds, 3+ pts | 46% | -9.5 | $34K | $71K |
| Donalds, 4+ pts | 40% | -1.5 | $18K | $27K |
| Donalds, 5+ pts | 32% | -7.5 | $3K | $8K |
| Donalds, 7+ pts | 20% | -3.5 | $2K | $3K |
| Donalds, 6+ pts | 19% | -10.0 | $7K | $30K |
| Donalds, 9+ pts | 16% | +1.5 | $2K | $10K |
| Donalds, 12+ pts | 7% | -2.1 | $935 | $6K |
| Donalds, 15+ pts | 6% | +3.6 | $258 | $4K |
Same series
- Texas Senate margin of victory≈ James Talarico, 3+ pts 50% · settles 2027-11-03
- Michigan Senate margin of victory≈ El-Sayed, 3+ pts 50% · settles 2027-11-03
- Texas Senate margin of victoryKen Paxton, 1+ pts 28% · settles 2027-11-03
- Florida Senate margin of victory≈ Moody, 5+ pts 46% · settles 2027-11-03
- Texas Governor margin of victory≈ Abbott, 3+ pts 50% · settles 2027-11-03
- North Carolina Senate margin of victory≈ Cooper, 15+ pts 47% · settles 2027-11-03