Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?
chance of YES62%
Price range (120d)
62–75%
24h volume
7.5K
Open interest
10.5K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Donalds, 1+ pts64%8.7K
Donalds, 3+ pts46%33.9K
Donalds, 4+ pts38%18.3K
Donalds, 5+ pts32%3.3K
Donalds, 6+ pts20%6.7K
Donalds, 7+ pts18%1.6K
Donalds, 9+ pts16%1.6K
Donalds, 12+ pts7%935
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 62¢ | 3,142 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.