K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 5 percentage points?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Florida Governor margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES32% -7.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
29–59%
· 7d -43 pts
24h volume
3.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Donalds, 1+ pts64%8.7K
Donalds, 2+ pts62%7.5K
Donalds, 3+ pts46%33.9K
Donalds, 4+ pts38%18.3K
Donalds, 6+ pts20%6.7K
Donalds, 7+ pts18%1.6K
Donalds, 9+ pts16%1.6K
Donalds, 12+ pts7%935

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO67¢ 1,732$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.