Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 3 percentage points?
chance of YES46%
-9.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
29–88%
24h volume
33.9K
Open interest
71.0K
Bid / ask
45¢ / 46¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0¢ | 29 | 46.0¢ | 936 |
| 44.0¢ | 1,469 | 47.0¢ | 29 |
| 43.0¢ | 1,116 | 48.0¢ | 155 |
| 42.0¢ | 1,211 | 49.0¢ | 0 |
| 40.0¢ | 1,147 | 50.0¢ | 63 |
Mid 45.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Donalds, 1+ pts64%8.7K
Donalds, 2+ pts62%7.5K
Donalds, 4+ pts38%18.3K
Donalds, 5+ pts32%3.3K
Donalds, 6+ pts20%6.7K
Donalds, 7+ pts18%1.6K
Donalds, 9+ pts16%1.6K
Donalds, 12+ pts7%935
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 51¢ | 19,797 | $10K | |
| YES | 51¢ | 3,718 | $2K | |
| YES | 56¢ | 5,943 | $3K | |
| YES | 55¢ | 5,535 | $3K | |
| YES | 53¢ | 5,675 | $3K | |
| YES | 64¢ | 4,187 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.