Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points?
chance of YES37%
-6.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
32–59%
24h volume
17.3K
Open interest
82.5K
Bid / ask
37¢ / 38¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37.0¢ | 1 | 38.0¢ | 28 |
| 36.0¢ | 98 | 39.0¢ | 496 |
| 35.0¢ | 952 | 41.0¢ | 442 |
| 34.0¢ | 2 | 42.0¢ | 200 |
| 33.0¢ | 200 | 43.0¢ | 22 |
Mid 37.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Sayed, 1+ pts66%3.9K
Sayed, 5+ pts20%1.2K
Sayed, 7+ pts16%205
Sayed, 9+ pts7%211
Sayed, 11+ pts7%131
Sayed, 13+ pts4%141
Sayed, 15+ pts3%21
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 63¢ | 3,819 | $2K | |
| NO | 62¢ | 1,977 | $1K | |
| NO | 62¢ | 1,983 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.