Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?
chance of YES20%
-3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
21–37%
24h volume
1.2K
Open interest
110.1K
Large orders (14d)
$5K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Sayed, 1+ pts66%3.9K
Sayed, 3+ pts37%17.3K
Sayed, 7+ pts16%205
Sayed, 9+ pts7%211
Sayed, 11+ pts7%131
Sayed, 13+ pts4%141
Sayed, 15+ pts3%21
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 80¢ | 1,444 | $1K | |
| NO | 80¢ | 1,629 | $1K | |
| NO | 83¢ | 1,504 | $1K | |
| NO | 75¢ | 1,655 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.