Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 9 percentage points?

Sayed, 9+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Michigan Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES7%
Price range (120d)
1–21%
30d +22 pts · 7d -4 pts
24h volume
211
$1 contracts
Open interest
16.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO92¢ 2,525$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.