Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 7 percentage points?
chance of YES16%
+1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
6–24%
24h volume
205
Open interest
65.6K
Large orders (14d)
$10K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Sayed, 1+ pts66%3.9K
Sayed, 3+ pts37%17.3K
Sayed, 5+ pts20%1.2K
Sayed, 9+ pts7%211
Sayed, 11+ pts7%131
Sayed, 13+ pts4%141
Sayed, 15+ pts3%21
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 91¢ | 1,388 | $1K | |
| NO | 89¢ | 1,402 | $1K | |
| NO | 89¢ | 1,680 | $1K | |
| NO | 87¢ | 1,313 | $1K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 2,354 | $2K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 1,825 | $2K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 1,810 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.