Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 28 percentage points?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (363d) All outcomes: Tennessee Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES1% -14.4pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–37%
24h volume
2.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
2.8K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO99¢ 2,584$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.