K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Tennessee be at least 4 percentage points?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (363d) All outcomes: Tennessee Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES100% +5.3pp in 24h
Price range (16h)
99–99%
24h volume
38.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
38.0K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$37K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Hagerty, 20+ pts1%32.1K
Hagerty, 24+ pts1%11.3K
Hagerty, 22+ pts1%9.0K
Hagerty, 28+ pts1%2.6K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES99¢ 37,000$37K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.