What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 59%, implying a 59% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2045. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Gadi Eisenkot

Closes Jan 01, 2045 (6725d) 24h volume 205 Open interest 7.2K Event Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

59%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 53 days · High 62% · Low 9% · 7d -8.2pp · 30d +55.6pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.