What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2045. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Itamar Ben-Gvir

Closes Jan 01, 2045 (6773d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 4.0K Event Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

implied YES probability

-0.7pp 24h

Last 23 days · High 10% · Low 2% · 7d +56.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.