Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Settles Dec 31, 2027 (426d) All outcomes: Oscar Winner: Best Picture

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chance of YES2% -0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–4%
30d +100 pts · 7d +100 pts
24h volume
1.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
316.6K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
1.0¢ 29,466 2.0¢ 33,098
3.0¢ 14,405
4.0¢ 5,663
5.0¢ 3,886
6.0¢ 1

Mid 1.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO99¢ 3,000$3K
NO99¢ 9,351$9K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.