Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Settles Dec 31, 2027 (426d) All outcomes: Oscar Winner: Best Picture

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Preview
chance of YES8% -1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
5–18%
30d +0 pts · 7d +12 pts
24h volume
5.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
526.4K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
7.0¢ 104 8.0¢ 11,193
6.0¢ 1,097 9.0¢ 5,200
5.0¢ 20,298 10.0¢ 5,391
4.0¢ 7,478 11.0¢ 1,307
3.0¢ 3,014 12.0¢ 412

Mid 7.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES9¢ 13,189$1K
NO92¢ 1,166$1K
NO93¢ 1,413$1K
NO92¢ 2,648$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.