Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?
chance of YES14%
-0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
5–31%
24h volume
1.1K
Open interest
434.4K
Bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0¢ | 173 | 14.0¢ | 1,381 |
| 12.0¢ | 4,285 | 15.0¢ | 68 |
| 11.0¢ | 5,058 | 16.0¢ | 365 |
| 10.0¢ | 5,273 | 17.0¢ | 4,749 |
| 9.0¢ | 22 | 18.0¢ | 7,273 |
Mid 13.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
The Odyssey57%21.2K
You Can See Everything18%24.1K
Dune: Part Three8%5.7K
Digger2%857
Wild Horse Nine2%3.3K
Artificial2%1.3K
Project Hail Mary1%2.8K
Avengers: Doomsday1%1.4K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 14¢ | 17,167 | $2K | |
| NO | 87¢ | 5,000 | $4K | |
| NO | 87¢ | 1,458 | $1K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 1,500 | $1K | |
| NO | 85¢ | 1,182 | $1K | |
| NO | 84¢ | 3,695 | $3K | |
| NO | 85¢ | 2,939 | $2K | |
| NO | 84¢ | 2,246 | $2K | |
| NO | 83¢ | 1,556 | $1K | |
| NO | 82¢ | 4,418 | $4K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.