kalshi Entertainment

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

The Odyssey
Closes Dec 31, 2027 (516d) 24h volume 12.4K Open interest 470.8K Event Oscar winner: Best Picture
50%
implied YES probability
-2.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 58% · Low 21% · 7d -12.3pp · 30d +66.7pp
58%21%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for The Odyssey winning Best Picture at the Oscars indicates a 48% probability of this outcome, as reflected in the current YES price of 0.48. This assessment is informed by known facts about the film's critical reception and awards season momentum. The market is currently pricing in the possibility that The Odyssey will emerge victorious from a competitive field of nominees. A significant shift in public opinion or a major upset at the Golden Globes or other precursor awards could potentially drive the price up, while a dominant performance by another film at these events might cause the YES price to decline. As the Oscars ceremony approaches, market participants will be closely watching the final weeks of campaigning and any last-minute changes in the odds to inform their predictions.
Generated Jul 28, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
50.0¢ 164 51.0¢ 24912
49.0¢ 5019 52.0¢ 5179
48.0¢ 635 53.0¢ 12021
47.0¢ 13423 54.0¢ 2316
46.0¢ 267 55.0¢ 651
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 50.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.