Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Settles Dec 31, 2027 (426d) All outcomes: Oscar Winner: Best Picture

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chance of YES57% +1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
45–60%
30d +16 pts · 7d +21 pts
24h volume
21.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
1.0M
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
52¢ / 53¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
52.0¢ 606 53.0¢ 1,016
51.0¢ 11,170 54.0¢ 2,133
50.0¢ 10,618 55.0¢ 2,676
49.0¢ 985 56.0¢ 10,995
48.0¢ 1,759 57.0¢ 589

Mid 52.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES57¢ 2,554$1K
YES56¢ 10,174$6K
NO47¢ 3,559$2K
NO49¢ 5,046$2K
YES51¢ 6,628$3K
YES50¢ 10,730$5K
YES49¢ 5,046$2K
YES46¢ 10,611$5K
NO56¢ 3,793$2K
NO57¢ 2,051$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.