K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 280?

Settles Dec 15, 2026 (45d) All outcomes: Paper price index in November 2026

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chance of YES88% +6.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
73–82%
· 7d +0 pts
24h volume
2.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
4.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 27594%6.6K
Above 2908%41
Above 3054%26.8K
Above 3004%5.0K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES83¢ 2,133$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.