What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Will Andrew Yang be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

Andrew Yang

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (826d) 24h volume 1.3K Open interest 1.5M Event 2028 Democratic presidential nominee

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 66 days · High 0% · Low 0% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -25.0pp

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market currently indicates a 0% probability that Andrew Yang will be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party in the 2028 election. This assessment is informed by known facts about Yang's political career and his campaign's current standing within the party. As of now, there are no significant indicators suggesting Yang's candidacy has gained traction or momentum. The market price would likely increase if Yang were to secure key endorsements from prominent Democratic figures or demonstrate a notable surge in fundraising efforts. Conversely, a decline in Yang's public profile or a lack of progress in his campaign could lead to a decrease in the YES price.

Generated Jul 26, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
0.2¢	99901	0.3¢	288517
0.1¢	623619	0.4¢	125275
		0.5¢	10600
		0.6¢	5551
		0.7¢	4651

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.2¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.