What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Gavin Newsom

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (874d) 24h volume 41.6K Open interest 3.1M Event 2028 Democratic presidential nominee

24%

implied YES probability

Last 91 days · High 30% · Low 21% · 7d +9.1pp · 30d 0.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 23.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.