kalshi Elections

Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Raphael Warnock
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (826d) 24h volume 31.3K Open interest 2.5M Event 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 70 days · High 1% · Low 0% · 7d -16.7pp · 30d -37.5pp
1%0%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing Raphael Warnock as having a negligible chance of being the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is likely informed by the fact that Warnock has not publicly expressed interest in running for president and has not built a national profile comparable to other potential candidates. The current price does not reflect any known facts or developments that would suggest Warnock's chances of becoming the nominee have improved. A change in Warnock's public stance on running for president, or the emergence of a significant endorsement or fundraising effort from prominent Democrats, could potentially increase the YES price and imply a higher probability of his nomination. Conversely, if other candidates begin to gain momentum or announce their own presidential bids, this could further decrease the likelihood of Warnock being nominated and drive the YES price down.
Generated Jul 24, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
0.4¢ 31055 0.5¢ 45949
0.3¢ 218004 0.6¢ 62993
0.2¢ 122731 0.7¢ 70872
0.1¢ 10219981 0.8¢ 42590
0.9¢ 3894
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.4¢

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