kalshi
Elections
Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Raphael Warnock
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 70 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -16.7pp
· 30d -37.5pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing Raphael Warnock as having a negligible chance of being the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is likely informed by the fact that Warnock has not publicly expressed interest in running for president and has not built a national profile comparable to other potential candidates. The current price does not reflect any known facts or developments that would suggest Warnock's chances of becoming the nominee have improved. A change in Warnock's public stance on running for president, or the emergence of a significant endorsement or fundraising effort from prominent Democrats, could potentially increase the YES price and imply a higher probability of his nomination. Conversely, if other candidates begin to gain momentum or announce their own presidential bids, this could further decrease the likelihood of Warnock being nominated and drive the YES price down.
Generated Jul 24, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 31055 | 0.5¢ | 45949 | |
| 0.3¢ | 218004 | 0.6¢ | 62993 | |
| 0.2¢ | 122731 | 0.7¢ | 70872 | |
| 0.1¢ | 10219981 | 0.8¢ | 42590 | |
| 0.9¢ | 3894 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.4¢
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