kalshi
Elections
Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Bernie Sanders
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 81 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d -25.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market currently assigns a 1% probability to Bernie Sanders being the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Sanders' age and health concerns, which may impact his ability to run for office in four years. The current price also reflects the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the nomination process, including the potential emergence of new candidates or shifts in public opinion. Any developments that significantly alter Sanders' political viability or the broader Democratic Party landscape could cause the YES price to move up or down, potentially increasing or decreasing the perceived likelihood of his nomination.
Generated Jul 12, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6¢ | 20513 | 0.7¢ | 54998 | |
| 0.5¢ | 130782 | 0.8¢ | 95676 | |
| 0.4¢ | 154333 | 0.9¢ | 51779 | |
| 0.3¢ | 243220 | 1.0¢ | 33429 | |
| 0.2¢ | 195813 | 1.2¢ | 500 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.7¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.