kalshi Elections

Will Chris Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Chris Murphy
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (826d) 24h volume 54.3K Open interest 2.7M Event 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 69 days · High 1% · Low 0% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d 0.0pp
1%0%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing Chris Murphy as a 1% chance to be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Murphy's current status as a junior senator from Connecticut and his lack of national recognition compared to other potential candidates. The market is not reflecting any significant recent developments or changes that would suggest an increase in Murphy's chances, nor are there any notable events on the horizon that would significantly alter the probability. As the 2028 election approaches, the market may respond to news and announcements from Murphy's campaign, as well as shifts in the broader political landscape, which could impact his perceived likelihood of securing the nomination.
Generated Jul 27, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
0.6¢ 690001 0.7¢ 200432
0.5¢ 244580 0.8¢ 77398
0.4¢ 2500 0.9¢ 75100
0.3¢ 41666 1.0¢ 776812
0.2¢ 130520 1.1¢ 25
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.7¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.