kalshi
Elections
Will J.B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
J.B. Pritzker
3%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 4% ·
Low 2%
· 7d -7.4pp
· 30d -19.4pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing J.B. Pritzker's chances of being the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028 at a 3% probability, with a YES price of 0.03. This assessment is informed by known facts about Pritzker's political career and current events in the Democratic Party. The market is reflecting the relatively low likelihood of Pritzker securing the nomination, likely due to the numerous other potential candidates and factors that could influence the outcome. A significant change in Pritzker's political fortunes or a major shift in the Democratic Party's dynamics would be required to move the price up, while a strong alternative candidate emerging or a decline in Pritzker's popularity could cause the price to decrease. The market will continue to reassess and adjust its pricing as new information becomes available, with the current close date set for November 7th, 2028.
Generated Jul 25, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5¢ | 12608 | 2.6¢ | 72248 | |
| 2.4¢ | 16952 | 2.7¢ | 103141 | |
| 2.3¢ | 10386 | 2.8¢ | 44341 | |
| 2.2¢ | 7392 | 2.9¢ | 5935 | |
| 2.1¢ | 8010 | 3.0¢ | 6250 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 2.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.