kalshi Elections

Will John Fetterman be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

John Fetterman
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (826d) 24h volume 13.2K Open interest 2.5M Event 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 62 days · High 0% · Low 0% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -33.3pp
0%0%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 0% probability that John Fetterman will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028. This assessment is based on known facts about Fetterman's current political standing and the competitive nature of the Democratic primary process. The current price reflects the market's collective opinion that Fetterman is not a strong contender for the nomination at this time. Any significant developments or changes in Fetterman's political fortunes could potentially impact the price, causing it to rise if his chances improve or fall if they worsen. Conversely, a decline in Fetterman's popularity or the emergence of stronger candidates could cause the price to decrease. The market will continue to reassess and adjust its probability estimate as new information becomes available until the event closes on November 7th, 2028.
Generated Jul 12, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
0.1¢ 994355 0.2¢ 518453
0.3¢ 678968
0.4¢ 311207
0.5¢ 10464
0.6¢ 1000
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.1¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.