kalshi
Elections
Will John Fetterman be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
John Fetterman
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 62 days ·
High 0% ·
Low 0%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d -33.3pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 0% probability that John Fetterman will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028. This assessment is based on known facts about Fetterman's current political standing and the competitive nature of the Democratic primary process. The current price reflects the market's collective opinion that Fetterman is not a strong contender for the nomination at this time. Any significant developments or changes in Fetterman's political fortunes could potentially impact the price, causing it to rise if his chances improve or fall if they worsen. Conversely, a decline in Fetterman's popularity or the emergence of stronger candidates could cause the price to decrease. The market will continue to reassess and adjust its probability estimate as new information becomes available until the event closes on November 7th, 2028.
Generated Jul 12, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 994355 | 0.2¢ | 518453 | |
| 0.3¢ | 678968 | |||
| 0.4¢ | 311207 | |||
| 0.5¢ | 10464 | |||
| 0.6¢ | 1000 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.1¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.