kalshi
Elections
Will Jared Polis be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Jared Polis
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 48 days ·
High 0% ·
Low 0%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d -50.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Jared Polis being the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028 indicates a negligible probability of this outcome, with the current YES price set at 0.00. This assessment is informed by the fact that Polis has not yet announced his candidacy and has not been actively campaigning or building support among party leaders or voters. The market's consensus is that other candidates are more likely to emerge as contenders for the nomination. A significant development, such as Polis announcing his candidacy or gaining notable endorsements from prominent Democrats, could potentially increase the YES price by altering the perceived likelihood of this outcome. Conversely, a lack of momentum or continued silence on Polis' part may keep the current price stable or even drive it lower.
Generated Jul 12, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 477762 | 0.2¢ | 16975 | |
| 0.3¢ | 208907 | |||
| 0.4¢ | 45641 | |||
| 0.5¢ | 188869 | |||
| 0.6¢ | 7348 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.1¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.