kalshi
Elections
Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Wes Moore
2%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 3% ·
Low 2%
· 7d -3.9pp
· 30d +19.1pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market currently assigns a 3% probability to Wes Moore being the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028, reflected in a YES price of 0.03. This assessment is informed by known facts about Moore's background and political experience, as well as his recent announcement of a presidential bid. The current price does not reflect any specific endorsements or controversies that may impact his chances. A significant shift in public opinion or a major endorsement from a prominent Democratic figure could potentially drive the YES price up, while a strong challenge from another candidate or a scandal involving Moore's campaign could cause it to decline.
Generated Jul 27, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4¢ | 16659 | 2.5¢ | 43146 | |
| 2.3¢ | 11091 | 2.6¢ | 13504 | |
| 2.2¢ | 98969 | 2.7¢ | 192481 | |
| 2.1¢ | 27335 | 2.8¢ | 14244 | |
| 2.0¢ | 55552 | 2.9¢ | 3286 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 2.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.