kalshi
Elections
Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Zohran Mamdani
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 81 days ·
High 0% ·
Low 0%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d 0.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market currently indicates a 0% probability that Zohran Mamdani will be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028, as reflected by the YES price of $0.00. This assessment is based on current information and publicly available data, which suggests that Mamdani's chances of securing the nomination are extremely low at this point. The market's consensus reflects a lack of significant momentum or buzz surrounding his potential candidacy. Any developments that could alter this perception, such as Mamdani announcing his intention to run or gaining notable endorsements, would likely impact the YES price upward. Conversely, if Mamdani's political fortunes continue to stagnate or he faces setbacks, the market may further discount his chances, driving the YES price downward.
Generated Jul 25, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 1181817 | 0.3¢ | 1049172 | |
| 0.1¢ | 2371206 | 0.4¢ | 63111 | |
| 0.5¢ | 10634 | |||
| 0.6¢ | 4430 | |||
| 0.7¢ | 39051 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.2¢
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