kalshi Elections

Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Zohran Mamdani
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (826d) 24h volume 65.4K Open interest 2.9M Event 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 81 days · High 0% · Low 0% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d 0.0pp
0%0%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market currently indicates a 0% probability that Zohran Mamdani will be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028, as reflected by the YES price of $0.00. This assessment is based on current information and publicly available data, which suggests that Mamdani's chances of securing the nomination are extremely low at this point. The market's consensus reflects a lack of significant momentum or buzz surrounding his potential candidacy. Any developments that could alter this perception, such as Mamdani announcing his intention to run or gaining notable endorsements, would likely impact the YES price upward. Conversely, if Mamdani's political fortunes continue to stagnate or he faces setbacks, the market may further discount his chances, driving the YES price downward.
Generated Jul 25, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
0.2¢ 1181817 0.3¢ 1049172
0.1¢ 2371206 0.4¢ 63111
0.5¢ 10634
0.6¢ 4430
0.7¢ 39051
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.2¢

Trade on Kalshi

Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.