What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Dec 01, 2026 (30d) All outcomes: Rain in Phoenix in Nov 2026?

chance of YES18%

Price range (4d)

10–18%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 4d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.