What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 45

chance of YES98% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

90–99%

30d +9 pts · 7d -1 pts

24h volume

37.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

26.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

98¢ / 99¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 98.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 2:21 AM ET	YES	99¢	17,080	$17K
Oct 2, 2:17 AM ET	YES	99¢	20,000	$20K
Sep 18, 3:56 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,963	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.