What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 80

chance of YES68% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

52–74%

30d +0 pts · 7d -1 pts

24h volume

1.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

32.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.