What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Pete Hegseth

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 14.2K Open interest 288.3K Event Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

34%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 90 days · High 61% · Low 26% · 7d -12.5pp · 30d -24.3pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 45.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.