Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?
chance of YES36%
+3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
20–35%
24h volume
4.2K
Open interest
496.9K
Bid / ask
27¢ / 28¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.0¢ | 120 | 28.0¢ | 497 |
| 26.0¢ | 307 | 29.0¢ | 1,079 |
| 25.0¢ | 1,000 | 30.0¢ | 110 |
| 24.0¢ | 25 | 31.0¢ | 358 |
| 23.0¢ | 64 | 32.0¢ | 55 |
Mid 27.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Ric Grenell66%1
Susie Wiles44%5.0K
Mike Waltz42%55
Amy Gleason32%156
Tilman Fertitta30%67
Doug Collins27%112
Mike Huckabee20%159
Linda McMahon19%49
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 70¢ | 2,801 | $2K | |
| NO | 67¢ | 1,650 | $1K | |
| NO | 68¢ | 1,625 | $1K | |
| NO | 75¢ | 1,358 | $1K | |
| NO | 75¢ | 2,021 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.