Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (62d) All outcomes: Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

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chance of YES44% +4.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
17–46%
30d +142 pts · 7d +24 pts
24h volume
5.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
118.8K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
35¢ / 37¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
35.0¢ 897 37.0¢ 116
34.0¢ 1,519 38.0¢ 936
33.0¢ 102 39.0¢ 6,852
32.0¢ 6 40.0¢ 52
31.0¢ 40 45.0¢ 18

Mid 36.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO65¢ 7,511$5K
NO64¢ 2,000$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.