Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in October?

Above 4.3%
Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Unemployment in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES6% -3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–53%
30d -75 pts · 7d -14 pts
24h volume
2.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 4.0%94%1.7K