Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 5.0% in October?

Above 5.0%
Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Unemployment in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
1–87%
· 7d +100 pts
24h volume
23
$1 contracts
Open interest
1.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Above 4.0%94%1.7K