What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

María Corina Machado

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 540 Open interest 261.7K Event Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 17% · Low 6% · 7d -28.2pp · 30d -53.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.