What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 66%, implying a 66% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Nicolás Maduro

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 1.8K Open interest 218.0K Event Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

66%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 90 days · High 75% · Low 9% · 7d -15.3pp · 30d 0.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 62.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.