What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

$140.01 or above

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 8.3K Open interest 199.2K Event How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

18%

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 62% · Low 17% · 7d -47.5pp · 30d -48.8pp

Spread 1.7¢ · Mid 23.2¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.