What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

$160.01 or above

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 2.6K Open interest 181.6K Event How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

16%

implied YES probability

-0.8pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 40% · Low 12% · 7d -24.6pp · 30d -33.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.