What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

$200.01 or above

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 4.0K Open interest 187.9K Event How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

12%

implied YES probability

-0.9pp 24h

Last 86 days · High 21% · Low 10% · 7d -40.5pp · 30d -36.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.