What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 17%, implying a 17% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

$150.01 or above

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 4.7K Open interest 236.6K Event How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

17%

implied YES probability

-1.9pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 51% · Low 16% · 7d -43.0pp · 30d -48.7pp

Spread 3.2¢ · Mid 26.9¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.