polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Lionel Messi
4%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 62 days ·
High 42% ·
Low 1%
· 7d +14.1pp
· 30d -54.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Other outcomes in this event
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