What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Pop Culture

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Elon Musk

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (106d) 24h volume $9.5K Open interest $63.1K Event #1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 62 days · High 42% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -82.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.