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Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Donald Tusk
Closes Jan 01, 2027 (106d) 24h volume $100 Open interest $6.4K Event Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
74%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 50 days · High 89% · Low 35% · 7d +2.0pp · 30d +21.6pp
89%35%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

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