P PolymarketTech & AI

Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

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chance of YES59% -11.6pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–84%
30d +85 pts · 7d -29 pts
24h volume
$2.9K
USDC traded
Open interest
$21.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

16-1916%$2.0K
<1213%$433
20-239%$412
24-273%$309
28-310%$471
32+0%$1.1K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.