ACGL · Expected Move

Arch Capital Group Ltd

The expected move for ACGL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

ACGL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current ACGL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$6.10
7-Day Straddle
$2.10
30-Day ATM IV
23.7%
IV Rank
63%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ACGL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
ACGL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $6.10 $2.10 23.7% 63%
20261015 $6.10 $1.93 24.2% 68%
20261014 $5.83 $2.78 22.3% 51%
20261013 $6.05 $2.90 22.8% 55%
20261012 $6.40 $2.88 23.9% 65%
20261009 $6.03 $2.62 23.3% 59%
20261008 $6.57 $3.00 24.5% 70%
20261007 $5.85 $2.88 22.9% 56%
20261006 $5.97 $1.85 21.5% 43%
20261005 $6.17 $2.83 23.0% 57%
20261002 $3.67 $3.67 23.5% 61%
20261001 $3.20 $3.20 23.1% 57%
20260930 $4.25 $4.25 24.0% 66%
20260929 $2.45 $2.45 20.3% 33%
20260928 $3.97 $3.97 23.0% 56%
20260925 $3.98 $3.98 22.3% 51%
20260924 $4.03 $4.03 22.0% 48%
20260923 $4.33 $4.33 22.0% 48%
20260922 $4.00 $4.00 20.5% 34%
20260921 $4.62 $4.62 21.8% 46%
20260918 $4.38 $3.00 20.0% 30%
20260917 $4.53 $2.12 20.9% 38%
20260916 $4.92 $2.33 21.3% 41%
20260915 $5.35 $3.23 22.7% 54%
20260914 $5.30 $3.50 22.5% 53%
20260911 $5.90 $2.50 23.5% 61%
20260910 $5.58 $2.50 22.4% 52%
20260909 $4.78 $2.85 20.2% 32%
20260908 $4.90 $3.55 20.3% 32%
20260904 $6.18 $3.73 21.2% 41%
20260903 $5.75 $3.12 20.3% 33%
20260902 $3.52 $3.52 20.4% 34%
20260901 $3.55 $3.55 19.9% 29%
20260831 $3.83 $3.83 20.6% 35%
20260828 $3.77 $3.77 19.5% 26%
20260827 $3.65 $3.65 19.9% 29%
20260826 $3.95 $3.95 19.8% 28%
20260825 $4.08 $4.08 19.9% 29%
20260824 $3.45 $3.45 16.7% 0%
20260821 $3.90 $0.78 18.3% 14%
20260820 $4.50 $1.85 20.3% 33%
20260819 $4.90 $2.25 21.1% 40%
20260818 $3.72 $2.12 16.7% 0%
20260817 $4.32 $3.05 19.2% 7%
20260814 $4.58 $3.35 19.8% 12%
20260813 $6.10 $3.48 22.8% 42%
20260812 $4.85 $3.62 18.5% 0%
20260811 $5.32 $4.35 22.4% 20%
20260810 $6.83 $4.12 22.1% 16%
20260807 — — 25.1% 54%
20260806 $6.62 $4.50 24.9% 51%
20260805 $4.75 $4.75 26.4% 69%
20260804 $4.05 $4.05 25.3% 56%
20260803 $3.90 $3.90 24.8% 49%
20260731 $4.45 $4.45 23.4% 33%
20260730 $5.35 $5.35 24.6% 47%
20260729 $4.95 $4.95 22.7% 24%
20260728 $6.47 $6.47 26.1% 65%
20260727 $5.75 $5.75 25.0% 52%
20260724 $5.17 $5.17 22.9% 26%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.