ADM · Expected Move
Archer Daniels Midland Company
The expected move for ADM is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
ADM straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current ADM Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.73
7-Day Straddle
$3.73
30-Day ATM IV
32.1%
IV Rank
51%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ADM's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
ADM Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261002 | $3.73 | $3.73 | 32.1% | 51% |
| 20261001 | $3.90 | $3.90 | 32.4% | 54% |
| 20260930 | $3.95 | $3.95 | 32.4% | 54% |
| 20260929 | $4.33 | $4.33 | 32.9% | 60% |
| 20260928 | $4.30 | $4.30 | 32.7% | 58% |
| 20260925 | $4.85 | $4.85 | 31.6% | 45% |
| 20260924 | $4.95 | $4.95 | 32.2% | 52% |
| 20260923 | $5.18 | $5.18 | 33.1% | 62% |
| 20260922 | $5.25 | $5.25 | 32.6% | 56% |
| 20260921 | $5.47 | $5.47 | 31.7% | 46% |
| 20260918 | $5.75 | $0.33 | 30.6% | 35% |
| 20260917 | $6.30 | $1.57 | 31.4% | 43% |
| 20260916 | $6.38 | $2.05 | 33.0% | 61% |
| 20260915 | $6.78 | $2.48 | 33.3% | 64% |
| 20260914 | $6.75 | $2.80 | 32.5% | 56% |
| 20260911 | $6.80 | $3.12 | 31.6% | 45% |
| 20260910 | $7.00 | $3.53 | 32.0% | 50% |
| 20260909 | $7.22 | $3.75 | 32.7% | 58% |
| 20260908 | $7.15 | $3.92 | 33.1% | 62% |
| 20260904 | $7.20 | $4.12 | 31.3% | 43% |
| 20260903 | $7.50 | $4.38 | 32.3% | 52% |
| 20260902 | $4.58 | $4.58 | 32.4% | 54% |
| 20260901 | $4.60 | $4.60 | 32.3% | 53% |
| 20260831 | $4.60 | $4.60 | 31.3% | 42% |
| 20260828 | $4.83 | $4.83 | 30.4% | 32% |
| 20260827 | $4.65 | $4.65 | 30.1% | 30% |
| 20260826 | $4.88 | $4.88 | 30.7% | 36% |
| 20260825 | $4.78 | $4.78 | 29.6% | 23% |
| 20260824 | $4.97 | $4.97 | 30.2% | 30% |
| 20260821 | $4.82 | $0.25 | 27.5% | 1% |
| 20260820 | $5.30 | $1.30 | 28.7% | 14% |
| 20260819 | $5.30 | $1.77 | 28.3% | 10% |
| 20260818 | $5.53 | $1.93 | 29.0% | 17% |
| 20260817 | $5.40 | $2.42 | 27.7% | 3% |
| 20260814 | $5.45 | $2.42 | 27.4% | 0% |
| 20260813 | $5.62 | $2.72 | 28.2% | 0% |
| 20260812 | $5.88 | $2.98 | 29.0% | 0% |
| 20260811 | $6.00 | $3.22 | 29.0% | 0% |
| 20260810 | $6.25 | $3.53 | 30.0% | 14% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 29.1% | 1% |
| 20260806 | $6.65 | $4.28 | 31.3% | 23% |
| 20260805 | $4.10 | $4.10 | 31.0% | 19% |
| 20260804 | $4.47 | $4.47 | 31.6% | 26% |
| 20260803 | $5.65 | $5.65 | 36.6% | 74% |
| 20260731 | $5.85 | $5.85 | 35.5% | 63% |
| 20260730 | $6.15 | $6.15 | 36.4% | 72% |
| 20260729 | $6.30 | $6.30 | 36.7% | 74% |
| 20260728 | $6.42 | $6.42 | 35.7% | 65% |
| 20260727 | $6.55 | $6.55 | 36.0% | 69% |
| 20260724 | $6.80 | $6.80 | 34.7% | 56% |
| 20260723 | $6.80 | $6.80 | 34.7% | 56% |
| 20260722 | $7.20 | $7.20 | 36.1% | 69% |
| 20260721 | $7.20 | $7.20 | 35.3% | 61% |
| 20260720 | $7.30 | $7.30 | 35.8% | 66% |
| 20260716 | $7.20 | $1.48 | 34.0% | 48% |
| 20260715 | $7.15 | $1.65 | 34.3% | 51% |
| 20260714 | $7.35 | $2.00 | 34.8% | 56% |
| 20260713 | $7.60 | $2.35 | 35.5% | 63% |
| 20260710 | $7.25 | $2.62 | 33.0% | 39% |
| 20260709 | $7.45 | $3.05 | 33.8% | 47% |
More on ADM
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.