AFG · Expected Move

American Financial Group, Inc.

The expected move for AFG is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

AFG straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current AFG Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$8.62
7-Day Straddle
$8.62
30-Day ATM IV
24.9%
IV Rank
84%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to AFG's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
AFG Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261019 $8.62 $8.62 24.9% 84%
20261016 $8.70 $1.67 23.7% 70%
20261015 $8.75 $2.00 23.6% 62%
20261014 $8.65 $2.77 23.5% 61%
20261013 $8.00 $3.15 21.6% 43%
20261012 $8.30 $3.35 21.9% 46%
20261009 $8.95 $4.12 23.4% 60%
20261008 $8.90 $4.15 22.4% 50%
20261007 $9.20 $3.90 23.7% 63%
20261006 $8.95 $4.50 23.2% 58%
20261005 $9.15 $3.62 22.6% 52%
20261002 $5.15 $5.15 22.9% 55%
20261001 $4.55 $4.55 21.4% 40%
20260930 $4.85 $4.85 20.8% 35%
20260929 $4.83 $4.83 21.4% 41%
20260928 $4.75 $4.75 20.8% 35%
20260925 $5.55 $5.55 20.3% 30%
20260924 $5.33 $5.33 20.3% 30%
20260923 $5.35 $5.35 20.4% 31%
20260922 $5.88 $5.88 20.6% 33%
20260921 $6.40 $6.40 20.9% 36%
20260918 $6.67 $2.02 20.3% 30%
20260917 $6.53 $2.12 19.6% 24%
20260916 $6.57 $2.48 19.8% 25%
20260915 $6.25 $2.72 18.8% 15%
20260914 $6.88 $3.15 20.3% 30%
20260911 $7.20 $3.47 20.1% 28%
20260910 $7.17 $4.12 20.1% 28%
20260909 $7.18 $4.08 20.0% 27%
20260908 $7.28 $4.75 19.8% 25%
20260904 $7.35 $3.38 18.0% 7%
20260903 $6.95 $3.85 17.4% 1%
20260902 $4.15 $4.15 18.6% 13%
20260901 $4.12 $4.12 18.1% 8%
20260831 $3.90 $3.90 17.2% 0%
20260828 $5.03 $5.03 18.8% 12%
20260827 $5.17 $5.17 18.7% 11%
20260826 $4.70 $4.70 17.6% 0%
20260825 $5.75 $5.75 19.7% 7%
20260824 $6.28 $6.28 19.9% 9%
20260821 $6.25 $1.80 19.6% 6%
20260820 $6.53 $2.75 20.1% 12%
20260819 $6.75 $2.47 20.6% 17%
20260818 $6.93 $3.05 19.3% 2%
20260817 $6.90 $3.52 19.6% 6%
20260814 $7.35 $3.08 19.1% 0%
20260813 $7.57 $3.80 19.9% 3%
20260812 $7.95 $4.75 21.6% 20%
20260811 $7.88 $4.70 21.3% 18%
20260810 $8.07 $4.45 21.9% 24%
20260807 — — 20.2% 6%
20260806 $7.88 $5.53 20.3% 7%
20260805 $5.97 $5.97 21.7% 22%
20260804 $7.45 $7.45 26.0% 68%
20260803 $8.15 $8.15 26.5% 73%
20260731 $8.00 $8.00 25.8% 66%
20260730 $7.95 $7.95 26.0% 68%
20260729 $7.53 $7.53 25.3% 60%
20260728 $7.58 $7.58 24.7% 55%
20260727 $7.45 $7.45 24.5% 52%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.